Tool No. 02

Race
Predictor

Enter a recent race result and get predicted finish times across every major distance — calculated using the Riegel formula, the gold standard in race time prediction.

: : H : M : S
Enter your official chip time. For best results use a race from the last 8 weeks.
The Riegel formula uses an exponent to model how pace slows with distance. 1.06 works for most trained runners. Adjust if you consistently over or underperform at longer distances.

Enter a race result
to see your predictions

About the Riegel Formula — T2 = T1 × (D2 ÷ D1)^1.06. Developed by Peter Riegel in 1977, it remains the most widely used model for predicting race times across distances. It assumes consistent training and race conditions — it tends to be optimistic for runners undertrained at longer distances and conservative for those with a strong endurance base.